Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $12.3K in liquidity.
Probability
14%
24h Volume
$1.5K
Liquidity
$12.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
14%
Change
-1.5%
High
21%
Low
14%
Colorado Rockies moved from 15.5% to 14% over the last week, trading between 14% and 21%.
Colorado Rockies price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Colorado Rockies can win their game against the Milwaukee Brewers by at least four runs. Because the spread is set at Rockies -3.5, Colorado must do more than simply win; they need a decisive margin for the market to resolve in their favor. The listed start time is June 7 at 3:10 PM ET, so the key question is not just who wins, but by how much.
The event is an MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, with settlement based on the final official score. If the Rockies win by 4 or more runs, the market resolves to Colorado Rockies; any other result, including a Brewers win or a Rockies win by one, two, or three runs, resolves to Milwaukee Brewers. A tie also counts for Milwaukee in the market rules, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the game is completed.
Run-line markets like this reflect uncertainty about both the winner and the size of the margin, which can differ sharply in baseball. The Rockies and Brewers are named here because the outcome depends on one specific matchup, not season-long performance in the abstract. Readers care because the spread creates a stricter threshold than a simple moneyline: Colorado can play well and still fail to cover if the margin is too small.
Any concrete change to the expected game script can move this market, especially starting pitcher assignments, late lineup changes, weather, or an early scoring burst that changes how likely a lopsided final score looks. Because the Rockies need a four-run win, a game that stays close for most of the night generally weakens Colorado’s case, while a fast lead or strong pitching performance can make the spread more plausible. If the game goes final with the Brewers ahead or with Colorado winning by fewer than four, the market should settle against the Rockies.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 14% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check the official final score for the Rockies-Brewers game and whether the game was completed the same day or later as a makeup after postponement. The rules say the primary source is the official final statistics recognized by the event organizers, with credible reporting only used if those final stats are not published within 24 hours. If the game is canceled outright with no makeup, the market resolves 50-50, so that distinction matters more than in a standard win-or-lose bet.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 14%, $1.5K in 24h volume, and $12.3K in liquidity.
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Colorado Rockies
14.5%
Milwaukee Brewers
85.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 7, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for June 7 at 3:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game by 4 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 14%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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