Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $974.5K in 24h volume, and $527.7K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$974.5K
Liquidity
$527.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+50%
High
100%
Low
48%
New York Mets moved from 50% to 100% over the last month, trading between 48% and 100%.
New York Mets price history from Polymarket CLOB.
26 points
This market asks which team will win the June 7 MLB game between the New York Mets and the San Diego Padres, with first pitch scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. Because it is a single-game result, the main things that matter are the confirmed lineups, starting pitchers, late scratches, and whether the game is played to completion.
The contract resolves to New York Mets if the Mets win, and to San Diego Padres if the Padres win. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, or if it ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50. The resolution source is the official final statistics recognized by the league or event organizers, with credible reporting used only if official final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends.
Baseball games can swing quickly on a starting pitcher change, bullpen usage, weather, or a last-minute lineup adjustment, so even a single matchup can leave room for disagreement. The listing is currently leaning heavily toward the Mets, but that kind of market sentiment can still change if the pregame context shifts or if the game itself develops differently than expected. Readers are effectively watching whether New York’s edge holds up through nine innings under MLB’s official scoring rules.
The biggest price movers are the announced starting pitchers, confirmed batting orders, and any late injury or rest news before first pitch. During the game, early scoring, a short outing by a starter, or heavy bullpen usage can quickly change expectations about which side is more likely to finish on top. A postponement, suspension, or unusual ending can matter too because this market has specific settlement rules for canceled games and ties.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check that the game actually starts and is completed, since a postponement keeps the contract open. The most important source of truth is the official final game result from MLB or the event organizers, and the 24-hour fallback to credible reporting only comes into play if official final statistics are not posted in time. If there is any weather issue, umpire suspension, or makeup-game announcement, that is worth verifying because it can change when and how the market resolves.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $974.5K in 24h volume, and $527.7K in liquidity.
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New York Mets
100%
San Diego Padres
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and San Diego Padres, scheduled for June 7 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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