Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will put a run on the board in the first inning of their June 8 MLB game. It is a very specific early-game question, so it depends heavily on the starting pitchers, the top of each lineup, and whether either club can get immediate traffic on the bases. Because the first inning is such a small slice of the game, even one early hit, walk, or mistake can swing the outcome.
The settlement question is simple: did either the Yankees or Guardians score at least one run in the 1st inning of the scheduled game on June 8 at 6:40 PM ET? If either team scores in the opening inning, the market resolves Yes; if the inning ends scoreless for both teams, it resolves No. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed, and if the game is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
A first-inning run is common enough to be plausible, but still uncertain enough that the market can price both sides meaningfully. Baseball fans often care about this kind of market because it captures the start-of-game matchup: whether a strong top of the order can score quickly, or whether a starter can open with a clean frame. The disagreement here is not about who wins the game overall, but about how likely an early scoring chance is in one specific inning.
Any confirmed change in the starting pitchers, lineup order, or late scratches can move this market quickly, since the first inning is especially sensitive to who leads off and who is on the mound. News that a team is resting key hitters, promoting a different leadoff batter, or using an opener would matter more here than in a full-game market. Once the game starts, a leadoff walk, extra-base hit, error, or stolen base threat can also shift expectations immediately because one inning can settle the bet before many viewers have checked in.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the game, the most important things to verify are the official lineups, announced starters, and whether the game is played on June 8 as scheduled or moved to a makeup date. For settlement, the key source is the official final statistics recognized by MLB or the event organizers, with credible reporting used only if official stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. Readers should also watch for postponement or cancellation language, since a postponed game stays live and a canceled game with no makeup does not resolve as a normal win or loss.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.3K in 24h volume.
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Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the New York Yankees or Cleveland Guardians. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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