Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 54%, $2.7K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
Probability
54%
24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$13.9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
56%
Change
+29%
High
56%
Low
26.5%
Over moved from 27% to 56% over the full available history, trading between 26.5% and 56%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least 11 runs in their June 8 MLB game. The total is set at 10.5, so even a 10-run night settles to Under while 11 or more settles to Over.
The event is the Yankees vs. Guardians game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET, with settlement based on the final official run total in that game. If the teams score 11 or more runs combined, the market resolves to Over; if they score 10 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Baseball totals often come down to a handful of concrete factors: starting pitchers, bullpen availability, lineup strength, and whether a game turns into a low-scoring duel or an early offensive outburst. Yankees-Guardians is the kind of matchup where readers may disagree on whether the run environment will stay controlled or break open, which is what this 10.5 line is reflecting.
The biggest price movers are the confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup changes, and any sign that key hitters are resting or unavailable. Weather can matter too, especially wind or rain risk, because it can affect whether the game is delayed, shortened, or played in conditions that help or suppress scoring. Once the game starts, an early scoring burst, a quick exit by a starter, or heavy bullpen use can quickly change how likely 11 total runs looks.
The current market price implies roughly a 54% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is that the game is actually played on June 8 or, if postponed, when the makeup game is scheduled. For settlement, the official final score is the source of truth, with the market description saying official event statistics take priority and credible reporting may be used if final stats are not published within 24 hours. Readers should also watch for lineup cards and the listed starting pitchers, since those are the clearest pregame clues about whether this total looks more like a low-scoring Under setup or an Over-friendly one.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 54%, $2.7K in 24h volume, and $13.9K in liquidity.
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Over
53.5%
Under
46.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 54%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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