Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $3.7K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$3.7K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
82.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
83%
Low
82.5%
Over moved from 83% to 82.5% over the full available history, trading between 82.5% and 83%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least five runs in their June 8 MLB game. The total is low enough that one extra scoring inning, a couple of home runs, or a sharp pitching performance can swing the result, which is why it is worth watching closely. Live pricing is leaning toward the Over, but the final call depends on the actual box score when the game is complete.
The settlement question is simple: will the Yankees and Guardians score 5 or more total runs in the scheduled June 8 game at 6:40 PM ET? If they finish with 4 runs or fewer, the market resolves to Under; if they reach 5 or more, it resolves to Over. Because this is an MLB regular-season game, the official final statistics from the completed game are the key source for resolution.
Run totals in baseball can be hard to pin down because they depend on starting pitching, bullpen usage, lineup strength, weather, and whether the game turns into a low-scoring duel or a late scoring burst. Yankees-Guardians matchups can also draw attention because both teams have strong enough pitching and defense to keep totals tight, even when the offenses are capable of breaking open a game. The market is pricing that uncertainty in a very specific way: whether this one game lands just below or just above a total of 4.5 runs.
Confirmed lineups, a surprise scratch, or a change in the starting pitcher can quickly change how this total looks. Weather that affects carry or run scoring, early runs in the first few innings, and bullpen decisions in a close game can all move expectations for the final score. If the game becomes postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, it resolves 50-50 under the stated rules.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, readers should check that the game was actually played to completion and that the final official score is posted by MLB or the game organizers. The key settlement rule is the combined final runs, not innings played, so an extra-inning game still counts by its final total. If there is any postponement or dispute, the important detail is whether MLB schedules a makeup game at the home team’s park, since that keeps the market open until the makeup is finished.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $3.7K in 24h volume.
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Over
100%
Under
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 5 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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