Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $593.4 in 24h volume, and $17.4K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$593.4
Liquidity
$17.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+27%
High
100%
Low
71%
Over moved from 73% to 100% over the full available history, trading between 71% and 100%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least six runs in their June 8 MLB game. It is a straightforward total-runs question, so the key issue is not who wins, but whether the offense on both sides clears the 5.5 line. The posted deadline and settlement rules make the final official game score the main thing to watch.
The event is the regular-season MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET. The market resolves to Over if the two teams finish with 6 or more total runs, and Under if they combine for 5 or fewer. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled with no makeup, the market settles 50-50.
A 5.5 total is a close threshold, so even a modest scoring night can flip the outcome. For a Yankees-Guardians game, readers may care about how each club’s lineup, starting pitcher, bullpen usage, and late-game scoring shape the final total rather than the winner alone. The market is pricing disagreement over whether this matchup will be low-scoring enough to stay under or produce enough runs to go over.
Any confirmed lineup news, pitching changes, or weather-related delay can change expectations for scoring in this specific game. A stronger-than-expected starting pitcher matchup usually pushes sentiment toward Under, while a late scratch, bullpen game, or favorable hitting lineup can move the price toward Over. Once the game starts, early runs, extra-inning risk, and bullpen performance are the most direct drivers of the total.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official game status, because postponement and cancellation are handled differently from a completed game. The market settles on the official final statistics recognized by MLB, so the final box score is the source of truth unless those stats are not published within 24 hours. If the game is moved, the home team’s MLB.com schedule should show the makeup date, and that is the version that matters for resolution.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $593.4 in 24h volume, and $17.4K in liquidity.
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Over
100%
Under
0.1%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 6 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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