Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5.2K in 24h volume, and $28.6K in liquidity.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$5.2K
Liquidity
$28.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
100%
Change
+35.5%
High
100%
Low
63%
Over moved from 64.5% to 100% over the full available history, trading between 63% and 100%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least seven runs in their June 8 game at 6:40 PM ET. Because the over/under is set at 6.5, even one late-inning run can change the settlement, so every scoring chance matters.
The title names two MLB teams: the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians. The outcome is simple: "Over" pays if the final combined score is 7 runs or more, and "Under" pays if the two teams finish with 6 runs or fewer. The market is tied to the scheduled June 8 meeting, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the makeup game is completed; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Run totals in baseball can swing widely from game to game based on starting pitchers, bullpen usage, weather, lineups, and whether one team gets an early lead and changes how the game is played. A 6.5 total is a relatively modest number, so the market is really asking whether this matchup will play more like a quiet, pitching-driven game or one that opens up with extra-base hits, walks, and late scoring. Readers care because the answer depends on the game itself, not the teams' names alone.
Any confirmed lineup news, especially if key hitters are resting or back in the order, can shift expectations for the scoring total. A starting pitcher change, an early bullpen game, or evidence that the ballpark and weather may favor offense would also tend to push the market toward the Over, while strong starting pitching or a lineup missing regulars would usually support the Under. Once the game starts, early runs, pitch counts, and bullpen availability become the main factors that can change how likely seven total runs looks.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The final result should come from the official game statistics recognized by MLB, with a fallback to credible reporting only if official stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. If the game is delayed or postponed, the key detail to verify is whether it was completed and, if so, whether it became a makeup game listed on the home team's MLB.com schedule. For settlement, the only thing that matters is the completed final combined score, so readers should check the official box score rather than the live inning-by-inning state.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $5.2K in 24h volume, and $28.6K in liquidity.
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Over
99.5%
Under
0.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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