Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 90%, $302K in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Probability
90%
24h Volume
$302K
Liquidity
$12.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
88%
Change
+34%
High
88%
Low
50.5%
Over moved from 54% to 88% over the full available history, trading between 50.5% and 88%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
5 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least eight runs in their June 8 MLB game. The over/under sits at 7.5, so the outcome hinges on whether the final score lands on seven runs or fewer, or reaches eight or more.
The question is straightforward: in the Yankees-Guardians game scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET, will the two teams’ total runs go over 7.5 or under it? Under the rules, "Over" cashes at 8 combined runs or more, while "Under" wins if the game ends with 7 or fewer total runs. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup, it settles 50-50.
Run totals in MLB can swing on a lot of game-specific factors, including starting pitchers, bullpen usage, weather, lineup changes, and whether either offense is clicking early. Yankees-Guardians is the kind of matchup where a modest scoring line can be genuinely uncertain, because a single big inning or a quiet pitching duel can push the total across the key number of 7.5. The market is pricing that uncertainty around a fairly low but common MLB total.
Confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup scratches, and any news about rest days for key hitters can quickly change expectations for the total. Weather is also especially important for a total like 7.5, since wind, temperature, and precipitation can affect scoring conditions and whether a game is played on time. Once the game starts, early scoring, pitch counts, and bullpen usage can shift the outlook sharply if one starter exits early or the offenses get multiple runners on base.
The current market price implies roughly a 90% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the official final score, since that is what determines whether the combined runs finished at 7 or below, or 8 and above. If the game is delayed or postponed, check the home team’s schedule on MLB.com for a makeup listing, because the market stays open until the game is actually completed. The settlement rule also says official final statistics are the main source, with credible reporting only used if final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends, so a reader should watch for any official scoring corrections or unusual postponement handling.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 90%, $302K in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
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Over
90%
Under
10%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 90%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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