Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 81%, $220.2K in 24h volume, and $28.4K in liquidity.
Probability
81%
24h Volume
$220.2K
Liquidity
$28.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
82%
Change
+36.5%
High
82%
Low
41.5%
Over moved from 45.5% to 82% over the last day, trading between 41.5% and 82%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market asks whether the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians will combine for at least 9 runs in their June 8 game. In baseball, that kind of total often comes down to starting pitching, bullpen depth, and whether either lineup can string together extra-base hits or big innings.
The settlement line is 8.5 runs for the Yankees-Guardians matchup scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET. If the two teams finish with 9 or more total runs, the market resolves to Over; if they finish with 8 or fewer, it resolves to Under. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Totals markets like this reflect uncertainty about how much offense two specific teams will generate on a given night. The Yankees and Guardians can produce very different run environments depending on the pitchers, weather, and whether either team gets an early lead that changes bullpen usage and game tempo.
Any confirmed change to the starting pitchers, especially a late scratch or an unexpected weaker starter, can move expectations quickly. Lineup news matters too, because resting a core hitter or returning a key bat changes the projected scoring outlook, and so can weather that helps or hurts offense. Once the game begins, early runs, pitch count, and bullpen availability are the main game-specific forces that can push the market one way or the other.
The current market price implies roughly a 81% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is whether the game is played to completion, since postponement and cancellation have different settlement rules. For final resolution, the market uses the official final statistics recognized by MLB or the relevant governing body, with credible reporting only used if official stats are not available within 24 hours after the game ends. Readers should also check the home team’s schedule on MLB.com if there is any postponement, because a makeup game controls when the market finally settles.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 81%, $220.2K in 24h volume, and $28.4K in liquidity.
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Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 81%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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