Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $11.9K in 24h volume, and $27.3K in liquidity.
Probability
65%
24h Volume
$11.9K
Liquidity
$27.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
67%
Change
+31.5%
High
67%
Low
32%
Over moved from 35.5% to 67% over the last day, trading between 32% and 67%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
49 points
This market is about the total number of runs scored by the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians in their June 8 MLB game. Because baseball scoring can swing quickly with one big inning, the over/under number is a simple way to ask whether this game finishes as a relatively low-scoring or higher-scoring matchup.
The question is whether the Yankees and Guardians combine for 10 or more runs in their scheduled game on June 8 at 6:40 PM ET. If the two teams reach 10 runs combined, the outcome is Over; if they finish with 9 or fewer, it is Under. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the makeup game is completed, and if the game is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
An MLB total like 9.5 depends on a mix of pitching, lineups, bullpen usage, park conditions, and whether either team strings together extra-base hits early. Yankees-Guardians is the kind of matchup where readers may disagree on run environment: one side may expect enough offense to clear 9.5, while the other may expect the game to stay controlled and end below that number.
Confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup changes, and any scratched hitters can change how many runs the market expects. Weather and ballpark conditions can matter too, especially if wind or rain affects scoring or postponement risk. Once the game starts, early runs, a short outing from a starter, or heavy bullpen use can quickly shift expectations for whether the total reaches 10.
The current market price implies roughly a 65% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The main thing to verify is the official final score once the game ends, since that is what determines Over or Under. If the game does not finish on June 8, check whether MLB lists it as a makeup game on the home team’s schedule, because a postponed game remains unresolved until the rescheduled game is played. If officials never publish final stats within the stated window, the market rules allow credible reporting to be used, so the exact resolution source matters if there is any delay or unusual game outcome.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 65%, $11.9K in 24h volume, and $27.3K in liquidity.
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Over
64.5%
Under
35.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 65%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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