Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $768.6K in 24h volume, and $89.3K in liquidity.
Probability
43%
24h Volume
$768.6K
Liquidity
$89.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
64%
Change
+14%
High
71.5%
Low
45.5%
New York Yankees moved from 50% to 64% over the last month, trading between 45.5% and 71.5%.
New York Yankees price history from Polymarket CLOB.
26 points
This market is about the June 8 MLB matchup between the New York Yankees and the Cleveland Guardians, a game that matters because baseball is settled one contest at a time and a single result determines the payout. The scheduled first pitch is 6:40 PM ET, and the market stays tied to that specific game unless it is postponed, canceled, or otherwise unresolved under the listed rules.
The question is simple: which team wins the Yankees-Guardians game on June 8, New York or Cleveland. The market resolves to the Yankees if New York wins and to the Guardians if Cleveland wins. If the game is postponed, it remains open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup or ends in a tie, the market settles 50-50.
This page tracks uncertainty around a single MLB result, where starting pitchers, bullpen usage, lineup choices, and late-game execution can all matter. The Yankees and Guardians are both established American League teams, so even a regular-season meeting can draw interest because the outcome is immediate, public, and settled by official box score results. The price reflects disagreement over which club is more likely to win this particular game, not a broader season view.
The most direct price moves usually come from confirmed lineups, a late pitching change, weather that affects whether the game starts on time, or any update that changes the expected strength of either side. During the game, a fast start, an early exit by a starter, bullpen strain, or a late rally can also shift sentiment quickly because the market is tied to the final score. Any official postponement, suspension, or unusual end condition would be especially important because it affects whether the market waits or settles 50-50.
The current market price implies roughly a 43% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, readers should verify the official final result of the June 8 game and whether it was completed under MLB rules. The key settlement details are the game outcome, any postponement or makeup game, and whether there was a cancellation or tie, since those are the specific cases that change how the market resolves. If the governing body has not published final statistics within 24 hours after the game ends, the rules allow a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead, so the final official status is the source of truth to check.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians. The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $768.6K in 24h volume, and $89.3K in liquidity.
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New York Yankees
42.5%
Cleveland Guardians
57.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for June 8 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 43%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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