Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a very specific opening-inning question for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays game on June 8 at 7:07 PM ET: will either team score in the first inning? Because it settles on the first frame of play, it is driven by the starting pitchers, the top of each lineup, and whether either club can create immediate offense before the game settles in.
The resolution is simple: if the Phillies or Blue Jays score at least one run in the 1st inning, the market resolves Yes; if the inning ends scoreless, it resolves No. The event is tied to this MLB game only, and the primary source is the official final game statistics as recognized by the league or event organizers. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
First-inning run markets are uncertain because one inning can swing quickly on a leadoff hit, a walk, a defensive mistake, or an early home run. For Phillies-Blue Jays specifically, readers care because the outcome depends heavily on the exact starting lineups, the pitchers who take the mound, and whether either team tends to start fast or slowly on that day. The market price reflects disagreement over how likely it is that one of the first three outs turns into immediate scoring rather than a clean opening frame.
Any confirmed change to the starting pitchers, batting order, or late scratch in the top half of the lineup can move this market quickly, since those details affect the odds of a first-inning run. News that a key hitter is resting, a starter is replaced, or an opener is used would matter more here than in many full-game markets because the market only cares about the first inning. As game time approaches, official lineups and pitcher announcements usually have the biggest impact.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, check the official MLB game log or final box score to see whether either team scored in the first inning, since that is the only substantive condition for Yes or No. If the game is delayed or postponed, the key detail is whether it is eventually completed as a makeup game, because a cancellation with no makeup leads to a 50-50 resolution under the market rules. The end date shown on the market page is the latest window for resolution, but the decisive source remains the official final statistics for the Phillies-Blue Jays game.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $2.1K in 24h volume.
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Yes
0%
No
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 15, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Philadelphia Phillies or Toronto Blue Jays. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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