Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$11.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
2.5%
Change
-20%
High
24.5%
Low
2.5%
Toronto Blue Jays moved from 22.5% to 2.5% over the last hour, trading between 2.5% and 24.5%.
Toronto Blue Jays price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks whether the Toronto Blue Jays will beat the Philadelphia Phillies by at least two runs in their June 8 MLB matchup. It is a run-line market, so a one-run Blue Jays win still counts for the Phillies side, which makes the final margin more important than the outright winner.
The event is the MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET. The Blue Jays side resolves if Toronto wins by 2 or more runs; any other result goes to Philadelphia, including a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup game, it settles 50-50.
The uncertainty here is not just who wins, but whether Toronto can create separation on the scoreboard. In baseball, that can hinge on starting pitching, bullpen depth, late-inning offense, and whether one team can string together extra-base hits or shut down rallies after a narrow lead. Readers care because the run line can flip on a late run, a defensive mistake, or a bullpen collapse even when the game feels close for most of the night.
The biggest event-specific drivers are the confirmed lineups, the starting pitchers, and any late scratches or weather-related changes before first pitch. Once the game starts, early scoring, pitch count trouble for either starter, and bullpen usage can change the expected margin quickly, especially if one side gets a multi-run lead. Any postponement notice or schedule update from the home team can also matter because it changes when and how the market settles.
The current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
To resolve this market, the key item is the official final game result and margin under MLB scoring. If the game is delayed or suspended, readers should check whether it is completed later and whether MLB lists a makeup date, since the market remains open until completion. The only ambiguity to watch for is settlement timing: the primary source is the official final statistics, but if those are not published within 24 hours, credible reporting can be used instead.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $1.4K in 24h volume, and $11.5K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Toronto Blue Jays
6.5%
Philadelphia Phillies
93.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
