Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 88%, $5K in 24h volume, and $9.2K in liquidity.
Probability
88%
24h Volume
$5K
Liquidity
$9.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
99.5%
Change
+18.5%
High
99.5%
Low
81%
Over moved from 81% to 99.5% over the full available history, trading between 81% and 99.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
4 points
This market asks whether the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays will combine for at least five runs in their June 8 game. Because the line is set at 4.5, even a modest scoring game can decide it, which makes the early run environment, starting pitchers, and bullpen use especially relevant to watch.
The settlement question is simple: will the Phillies and Blue Jays score 5 runs or more in their matchup scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET? If the teams finish with 4 total runs or fewer, the market resolves to Under; if they reach 5 or more, it resolves to Over. The market stays open through a postponement and waits for the makeup game to be completed, while a full cancellation with no makeup would settle 50-50.
Totals like 4.5 are close enough that small changes in lineup quality, weather, pitching choices, or in-game scoring can swing the outcome. Philadelphia and Toronto are both established MLB clubs with enough offensive talent to threaten a higher total, but they can also produce lower-scoring games if top starters are sharp or if either lineup is missing key bats. The market is effectively pricing the chance that this specific game clears a very low run threshold.
Confirmed starting pitchers, late lineup scratches, rest days for regular hitters, and any weather or park-related scoring factors can all change expectations for the total. Once the game begins, early runs, pitch counts, bullpen usage, and whether both teams are getting traffic on the bases can quickly push the live outlook toward Over or Under. Because the line is only 4.5, one crooked inning can matter more than in a higher total game.
The current market price implies roughly a 88% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should verify the official final score and make sure there is no postponement or makeup-game situation that changes the settlement timeline. The market rules say the primary source is the official final statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used only if official stats are not published within 24 hours. The key ambiguity to watch is whether the scheduled June 8 game is completed as planned, since a postponed game does not settle until the makeup is played.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 88%, $5K in 24h volume, and $9.2K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Over
87.5%
Under
12.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 5 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 88%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
