Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
Probability
76%
24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$8.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
91.5%
Change
+21.5%
High
91.5%
Low
69.5%
Over moved from 70% to 91.5% over the last week, trading between 69.5% and 91.5%.
Over price history from Polymarket CLOB.
12 points
This market asks whether the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays will combine for at least six runs in their June 8 game, which is a straightforward check on how much offense the two teams produce on the night. Totals like 5.5 are often sensitive to starting pitching, bullpen usage, weather, and whether a game turns into a low-scoring grind or a higher-scoring night. The market is currently leaning toward the Over, and the tight spread suggests traders see the total as fairly well defined.
The question is whether the Phillies-Blue Jays game scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET finishes with 6 or more total runs, or stays at 5 runs or fewer. “Over” cashes if the two clubs’ combined final score reaches six, while “Under” cashes if the total ends below that number. If the game is postponed, this market stays open until the game is actually played; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, it resolves 50-50. The official final statistics from the game are the main settlement source.
Run totals in baseball can swing on a few key variables, even when the matchup looks ordinary on paper. A single early homer, an ineffective starter, or a taxed bullpen can push a 5.5 total over the line, while strong pitching or weak contact can keep the game under. People following this market are essentially disagreeing about whether these two teams will create enough offense to get past a relatively low number.
The biggest price movers before first pitch are confirmed starting pitchers, lineup changes, and any weather or ballpark notes that might affect scoring. If one team sits regular hitters or if an expected starter is scratched, the total can shift quickly because those changes alter run expectancy more directly than a team-vs-team headline matchup. During the game, early runs, pitch count trouble, and bullpen availability can also change how the market views the final total.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 76% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market settles, check whether the game starts on time and whether any postponement turns it into a makeup game, since that affects when the result is decided. The key source of truth is the official final game statistics, with a fallback to credible reporting only if official stats are still unavailable after 24 hours. Readers should also verify the final combined runs, because a 5-run game resolves Under and a 6-run game resolves Over. If the game is canceled with no makeup, the market does not resolve to either side and is settled 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 76%, $1.9K in 24h volume, and $8.6K in liquidity.
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Over
75.5%
Under
24.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 8, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 8 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays combine to score 6 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 76%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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