Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $1.1M in 24h volume, and $30.5K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$1.1M
Liquidity
$30.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.5%
Change
-76%
High
76.5%
Low
0.5%
Pittsburgh Pirates moved from 76.5% to 0.5% over the last hour, trading between 0.5% and 76.5%.
Pittsburgh Pirates price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about the June 7 MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves, scheduled for 1:35 PM ET. The outcome will be settled by which team is credited with the official win, so the key question is simply which club finishes the game ahead under MLB rules.
The listed teams are the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Atlanta Braves, and the market resolves to the team that wins this specific matchup. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, or if it ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50. The stated resolution date window runs through June 14, which matters because postponed games can push settlement later than the original first pitch.
Baseball games are decided by starting pitchers, bullpen usage, lineup changes, and late-game swings, so even a single scheduled matchup can carry meaningful uncertainty. The market is currently tilted toward the Pirates, but that reflects trader opinion rather than a final result, and the balance can change quickly if lineups, scratches, or pitching assignments shift before first pitch.
The biggest price movers are official lineup announcements, starting pitcher confirmations, and any last-minute injury or rest news for either club. Because this is a single-game market, a change to a key bat, a bullpen availability note, or a weather-related postponement can affect how traders view the likely winner. Once the game starts, scoring changes, pitching changes, and late defensive substitutions can move sentiment in real time.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
To know how this market settles, check the official final result of the Pirates-Braves game and whether the contest was completed, postponed, canceled, or declared a tie. The description says the primary source is the official final statistics from the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting used only if final stats are not published within 24 hours. The main ambiguity risk is a delayed or suspended game, since that can keep the market open until the makeup is played and finished.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves. The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, $1.1M in 24h volume, and $30.5K in liquidity.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
15.5%
Atlanta Braves
84.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for June 7 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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