Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $398.1K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$398.1K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
47.5%
Change
-2.5%
High
53.5%
Low
47.5%
Tampa Bay Rays moved from 50% to 47.5% over the full available history, trading between 47.5% and 53.5%.
Tampa Bay Rays price history from Polymarket CLOB.
25 points
This market is about the June 7 MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins, scheduled for 1:40 PM ET. It will settle based on which team is credited with the official final result, so the key thing to watch is whether the game is completed as scheduled, delayed, or affected by an unusual finish.
The title names two American League and National League clubs from Florida: the Tampa Bay Rays and the Miami Marlins. Here, the question is simple in plain English — which team wins this specific regular-season game on June 7 at 1:40 PM ET? The market description says the official final statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers are the primary source for resolution, and if the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played.
Baseball games can turn on starting pitching, bullpen usage, lineup changes, weather delays, and late-inning swings, so even a single matchup can carry meaningful uncertainty. Because these are in-state teams playing a scheduled MLB game, the market is really pricing the outcome of one contest rather than a broader season outlook. The pricing can move quickly if a starting pitcher is scratched, a key hitter is ruled out, or the game status changes from on-time to delayed or postponed.
Official lineup announcements are especially important here, because a last-minute rest day or a surprise pitcher change can change how the game is viewed. Weather-related delays matter too, since postponement would keep the market open until the game is completed, while a cancellation or tie would trigger the special 50-50 rule described in the contract. Once the game starts, lead changes, extra innings, and bullpen performance can all affect the market as the official result comes into focus.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the scheduled first pitch, whether the game is actually completed, and whether the final score is officially recognized by MLB or the event organizers. The main ambiguity to watch for is a postponement, because the market does not resolve immediately if the game is moved and will remain open until play finishes. If the game is canceled with no make-up date, or if it somehow ends in a tie, the contract rules say the result is 50-50 rather than a win for either side.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins. The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $398.1K in 24h volume.
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Tampa Bay Rays
0%
Miami Marlins
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Miami Marlins, scheduled for June 7 at 1:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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