Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $645.2K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$645.2K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
0.1%
Change
-58.4%
High
58.5%
Low
0.1%
Arizona Diamondbacks moved from 58.5% to 0.1% over the last 6 hours, trading between 0.1% and 58.5%.
Arizona Diamondbacks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
20 points
This market is about the June 6 MLB game between the Washington Nationals and the Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for 4:10 PM ET. The only question that matters for settlement is which team is credited with the official win once the game is completed. Because baseball games can be delayed, postponed, or occasionally end under unusual conditions, the settlement rules matter as much as the matchup itself.
The market resolves to Washington Nationals if Washington wins the game and to Arizona Diamondbacks if Arizona wins. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is actually played; if it is canceled with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, it settles 50-50. Resolution is based first on the official final statistics recognized by the league or event organizers, with credible reporting only becoming relevant if final official stats are not published within 24 hours.
A single MLB game can swing on a lot of short-term variables, even when one team looks stronger on paper. Starting pitchers, late lineup changes, bullpen availability, and in-game scoring breaks all matter in a matchup like Nationals vs. Diamondbacks, where one result fully determines the outcome. That is why readers may see meaningful disagreement over which side is more likely to win before first pitch.
The biggest price moves usually come from the announced starting pitchers, confirmed lineups, and any injuries or rest decisions that change who is actually available to play. Weather-related delays, a postponed start, or a last-minute pitching change can also move the market quickly because they alter how the game is likely to unfold. Once the game begins, early scoring, bullpen usage, and any unusual stoppage that affects completion can change the path to settlement.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market resolves, check that the game is officially completed and that no postponement or cancellation rule applies. The key source of truth is the league’s official final result, so a makeup date or suspended-game situation can matter more than a box score screenshot or social media update. If the game ends in a tie or is canceled with no make-up, the market does not pick a winner and instead settles 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $645.2K in 24h volume.
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Washington Nationals
100%
Arizona Diamondbacks
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 13, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for June 6 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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