Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.8K in 24h volume.
Probability
100%
24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple but very specific baseball question: will either the Washington Nationals or Arizona Diamondbacks score in the first inning of their June 7 game? It is worth watching because first-inning scoring often depends on the two starting pitchers, the top of the batting order, and whether either club gets an immediate fast start.
The event is the MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks scheduled for June 7 at 3:15 PM ET. The market resolves to Yes if either team scores at least one run in the 1st inning, and No if the entire first inning ends without a run. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
There is real uncertainty around whether a first inning stays scoreless, even in a single game with known teams and a fixed start time. A run can come from an early home run, a walk and extra-base hit sequence, or a quick rally against a shaky starter, while strong pitching and cautious early at-bats can keep the inning clean. That makes the market a narrow read on the matchup rather than on the final score.
Anything that changes the expected first inning matters here, especially the announced starting pitchers, late lineup changes, or a top-order hitter sitting out. Because the market is about just one inning, even small news like a scratched leadoff batter, a pitching change, or unusual weather affecting offense can matter more than in a full-game market. Once the game starts, the result of the first three outs or an early run will effectively settle the question.
The current market price implies roughly a 100% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check that the game is actually played on June 7 and not postponed, since a postponement keeps the market open until the makeup game is completed. The settlement rule points to the official final statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with credible reporting only if final stats are not published within 24 hours after the game ends. For readers, the key thing to verify is the official first-inning scoring line in the completed game box score, because that is the direct basis for Yes or No.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks. The market currently shows a live probability of 100%, $1.8K in 24h volume.
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Yes
100%
No
0%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 14, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for June 7 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Washington Nationals or Arizona Diamondbacks. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 100%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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