Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $499.3 in 24h volume, and $3.6K in liquidity.
Probability
97%
24h Volume
$499.3
Liquidity
$3.6K
This market asks whether Timothée Chalamet will show up in person for every New York Knicks home game during the 2026 NBA Finals. It is a celebrity-and-sports crossover market, with the outcome tied to attendance at each Knicks home date rather than to game results or camera appearances.
The title points to Timothée Chalamet, a well-known actor with a public association with the New York Knicks, and to the 2026 NBA Finals, which are scheduled for June 3 through June 19, 2026. The market resolves "Yes" only if he is physically present at every Finals game hosted by the Knicks; being in the arena for any part of the event counts as attendance. If the Finals are canceled or pushed past July 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves "No," and the market cannot resolve "No" until the last Finals game has finished.
The uncertainty here is simple and very specific: even if Chalamet is a regular Knicks fan, there is no guarantee he will attend every home game across a full Finals series. Travel, scheduling conflicts, personal commitments, and the number of home dates in the series can all matter, so the market is pricing the chance that he makes every one of those appearances. Because the rule requires attendance at every Knicks home game, a single missed game would flip the outcome to "No."
Price movement will mostly depend on whether the Knicks actually reach the Finals and how many home games the series includes. Credible reporting or clear public sightings of Chalamet at each Knicks home game would support the "Yes" side, while any well-sourced indication that he missed one of the home games would push the market toward "No." Delays, cancellations, or a Finals schedule that ends without a qualifying Knicks home game could also affect resolution risk under the stated rules.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 97% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market settles, readers should check the official NBA Finals schedule, the Knicks’ home-game list, and whether each game actually took place within the resolution window. The key question is not whether Chalamet was seen courtside at some point, but whether there is a consensus of credible reporting showing attendance at every Knicks home game during the Finals. If a game is postponed or rescheduled, the important detail is whether all Finals games still conclude by July 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET and whether any missed game can be excluded under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?. The market currently shows a live probability of 97%, $499.3 in 24h volume, and $3.6K in liquidity.
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Yes
96.7%
No
3.3%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 20, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
The 2026 NBA Finals are scheduled for June 3, 2026 through June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Timothee Chalamet attends every game hosted by the New York Knicks during the 2026 NBA Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the NBA Finals are canceled or postponed beyond July 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Cancellation or postponement of an individual game will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "No" unless all other NBA Finals games have concluded without a qualifying attendance. Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. This market may not resolve to "No" until the final game of the NBA Finals has concluded. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 97%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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