Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $18.8K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$18.8K
Liquidity
$0
This market asks a simple basketball question: will San Antonio be ahead by at least 4 points at halftime of its game against New York? Because it settles on the score after two quarters only, the opening minutes and first-half rotations matter more here than the final result.
The title, "1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5)," means the Spurs must lead the Knicks by 4 or more points at halftime for the market to resolve to Spurs. If San Antonio is leading by 1, 2, or 3 points, tied, or trailing at the break, the market resolves to Knicks under the listed rules. The game is scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET, and the result is determined strictly from the halftime score, not the final buzzer.
There is real uncertainty in first-half NBA margins because early shooting, foul trouble, bench usage, and pace can swing a spread quickly before halftime. Knicks-Spurs is a matchup where the market is weighing whether San Antonio can build an early cushion large enough to clear 3.5 points in just one half. The near-even pricing suggests readers are seeing a fairly balanced first-half expectation rather than a one-sided spot.
Pre-game lineup news, late scratches, or rest decisions can change how much scoring punch either team brings in the opening half. In-game developments before halftime, such as an early run by either side, foul trouble for key players, or an unusually fast or slow first quarter, can also shift the market quickly. Because the settle point is halftime only, the biggest price moves usually come from information that changes the expected first-half margin, not from how the full game might finish.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key thing to verify is the official halftime score from the NBA game box score, since that is what decides the market. Readers should also check whether the game starts on schedule, because the rules say a postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed, while a full cancellation with no makeup game would settle 50-50. If there is any ambiguity, the safest source of truth is the official game status and halftime score, not full-game stats or postgame summaries.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $18.8K in 24h volume.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
0%
Knicks
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Knicks and Spurs, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 4 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
