Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $2K in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Probability
63%
24h Volume
$2K
Liquidity
$12.7K
This market asks whether Victor Wembanyama will finish the game with at least 3 assists, using the official NBA box score as the source of truth. It is tied to the June 5 NBA game scheduled for 8:30 PM ET, and all regulation and overtime play count toward the final assist total.
The outcome is straightforward: "Yes" if Wembanyama records more than 2.5 assists, and "No" if he finishes with 2.5 assists or fewer. If he is listed inactive or never takes the court, the market resolves to "No" under the posted rules. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
Assist totals can swing with playing time, matchup, teammates’ shot-making, and how often a player handles the ball. Wembanyama is unusual enough as a young star and frontcourt playmaker that even a modest line like 2.5 assists can be uncertain from game to game. This is the kind of player-stat market where small changes in role or minutes can matter more than a box-score average.
The biggest price movers are lineup and availability news, since an inactive designation settles the market to No. Minutes restrictions, foul trouble, or an early exit would also reduce the chance of clearing three assists. On the other side, a game script that gives Wembanyama more touches as a passer, or strong shooting from his teammates on his passes, would make the over more likely.
The current market price implies roughly a 63% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check whether Wembanyama is active and actually appears in the game, since that alone changes the result under the rules. The official NBA box score on NBA.com controls resolution, so readers should verify the final assist count there after the game ends and any overtime is complete. If there is a postponement or cancellation, the posted settlement rules—not the live game score—determine what happens next.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 2.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $2K in 24h volume, and $12.7K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Wembanyama records more than 2.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Victor Wembanyama records 2.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 63%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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