Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $126.6 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
Probability
96%
24h Volume
$126.6
Liquidity
$6K
This market is about whether San Antonio guard Devin Vassell will get on the scoreboard for more than 3.5 points in the NBA game scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is very low, the main question is not whether Vassell has a big scoring night, but simply whether he records at least four points or ends with three or fewer.
The market resolves "Yes" if Devin Vassell scores 4 points or more in the game, and "No" if he scores 3 points or fewer. The game itself, including any overtime, counts toward the final total, and the official NBA box score on NBA.com is the settlement source. If Vassell is inactive or never enters the game, the market resolves "No" under the rules provided.
Devin Vassell is a rotation scoring guard for the Spurs, so a points line this small usually reflects uncertainty around playing time, game role, or whether he will be available at all. Readers may care because the outcome can hinge on something as simple as a brief appearance, an early foul situation, or a late scratch rather than a full-game scoring projection. The market is pricing disagreement about whether he will clear the minimum threshold to get above 3.5 points.
Any pregame update about Vassell’s availability, minutes expectation, or starting status can move this market quickly, especially if it points to limited usage or an inactive designation. Once the game starts, early foul trouble, an injury, a short stint on the floor, or a quick scoring burst can matter because the threshold is only four points. If the game is lopsided or Vassell’s role looks unusually small, that can also change how likely the final box score is to land above or below the line.
The current market price implies roughly a 96% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market settles, check the official NBA box score rather than unofficial play-by-play or third-party summaries, since that is the stated source of truth. The key rule to verify is whether Vassell was active and actually took the court, because if he does not play at all the result is "No". Also note that postponed games stay open until completion, while a canceled game with no make-up would resolve 50-50 under the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Devin Vassell: Points O/U 3.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 96%, $126.6 in 24h volume, and $6K in liquidity.
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Yes
96.1%
No
4%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Devin Vassell scores more than 3.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Devin Vassell scores 3.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The current price implies a strong favorite, so new information would need to be meaningful to move the market sharply.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
The 24h move is notable, so recent news or market activity may have changed trader expectations.
The current displayed probability is 96%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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