Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $5 in 24h volume, and $7.7K in liquidity.
Probability
7%
24h Volume
$5
Liquidity
$7.7K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
6.5%
Change
0%
High
6.5%
Low
6.5%
Knicks moved from 6.5% to 6.5% over the full available history, trading between 6.5% and 6.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks can beat the San Antonio Spurs by 17 points or more in their NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is a large one at Knicks (-16.5), the key question is not just who wins, but whether the margin clears that exact threshold.
The title points to an NBA point-spread result: the Knicks must win by at least 17 points for the market to settle to Knicks. Any other finish, including a Knicks win by 16 or fewer, a Spurs win, or a tie, settles to Spurs under the rules shown here. The market is scheduled around the June 5 game and remains open if the game is postponed until it is actually played; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
Point-spread markets are sensitive to the gap between the teams, not simply the winner, so a game with a big listed spread can still land either side depending on pace, shooting, rotations, and late-game scoring. For a Knicks -16.5 market, the disagreement is over whether New York is strong enough in this matchup to create a blowout, or whether the Spurs can keep the margin below that number even in a loss. Readers should also remember that the exact settlement is tied to 17 points, so a final margin of 16 goes to Spurs.
The biggest price moves usually come from confirmed lineup news, star availability, rest decisions, and any late change to who is active for either team. In-game performance matters too: an early double-digit lead, foul trouble, or an injury can quickly change expectations about whether the final margin will reach 17. Because this is a spread market rather than a straight moneyline, garbage-time scoring and late substitutions can still matter if the game is hovering near the line.
The current market price implies roughly a 7% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official game status, tip-off time, and final score, since the market resolves only after the game is completed and the posted spread threshold is crossed or missed. The resolution rule here is simple but exact: Knicks need a win by 17 or more, while anything else settles to Spurs, including a tie. If there is a postponement or cancellation, the special rules in the description control settlement, so readers should verify whether the game was played, made up, or abandoned before treating the market as resolved.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-16.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 7%, $5 in 24h volume, and $7.7K in liquidity.
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Knicks
6.5%
Spurs
93.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 17 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 7%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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