Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, $22.1 in 24h volume, and $11.4K in liquidity.
Probability
29%
24h Volume
$22.1
Liquidity
$11.4K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
29.5%
Change
0%
High
29.5%
Low
29.5%
Knicks moved from 29.5% to 29.5% over the full available history, trading between 29.5% and 29.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about the Knicks covering a 1.5-point spread in the listed NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, buyers are judging whether New York will win by at least two points, with anything else settling for the Spurs side under the market rules.
The title, “Spread: Knicks (-1.5),” points to a standard NBA point-spread result rather than just the straight winner. For this market to resolve to “Knicks,” the Knicks must win the game by 2 or more points; if they win by 1, lose, or the game ends tied, it resolves to “Spurs” instead. The posted cutoff is the scheduled June 5 matchup, and if the game is postponed the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it settles 50-50.
Point-spread markets focus on margin, not just who wins, so a close game can land on either side of the line. That creates uncertainty around not only the final score but also late-game fouling, rotations, injuries, and whether the margin stays inside or outside 1.5 points. Because the line is so short, even a single possession can determine the outcome.
Any lineup news before tipoff can matter, especially if a key scorer or starter is ruled in or out. In-game, the market can swing with foul trouble, runs that open up or erase a small lead, and whether the game stays close into the final minutes. Because the spread is only 1.5, the price is especially sensitive to overtime risk, late substitutions, and whether either team is protecting a one-possession lead.
The current market price implies roughly a 29% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official final score and confirm which team won by the required margin after the game is completed. If there is any postponement, the settlement waits for the rescheduled game; if there is a cancellation with no makeup, the market resolves 50-50 under the stated rules. The most important ambiguity to watch for is whether the final margin is 1 point versus 2 points, since that is the exact threshold that decides the market.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 29%, $22.1 in 24h volume, and $11.4K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
29%
Spurs
71%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 2 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 29%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
