Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, and $9K in liquidity.
Probability
23%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$9K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
23%
Change
0%
High
23%
Low
23%
Knicks moved from 23% to 23% over the last month, trading between 23% and 23%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks cover a 4.5-point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in the upcoming NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. For a Knicks result, New York has to win by 5 points or more; anything else settles the other way under this market’s rules. Because it is a point-spread market, the final margin matters more than which team simply wins outright.
The title names the Knicks, the NBA team from New York, and the Spurs, the NBA team from San Antonio. The settlement rule is straightforward: "Knicks" resolves if New York wins by at least 5 points, while "Spurs" resolves if the Knicks win by 4 or fewer, lose, or the game finishes tied. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Point-spread markets are usually about whether the favored team can win by enough to clear the line, not just whether it can win the game. That leaves room for disagreement about pace, late-game scoring, rotations, and whether a close game stays within the number. The 4.5-point threshold is the key dividing line here, so even a small swing in the final minutes changes the outcome.
Anything that affects the expected margin can move this market, especially confirmed lineups, late injury news, and any change in how many minutes the starters are likely to play. Because the result depends on a five-point margin, a game that looks close throughout will usually keep both sides active until the final possessions. If the scheduled tip time changes, the game is delayed, or a key player is unexpectedly ruled out, those details can matter a lot for the spread.
The current market price implies roughly a 23% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, the main things to verify are the official final score and whether the game actually finishes under NBA rules. If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the makeup game is played; if it is canceled outright with no makeup, the special 50-50 rule applies. Readers should also check for any official league updates on schedule changes, because those determine whether the market settles immediately or stays open.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 23%, and $9K in liquidity.
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Knicks
23%
Spurs
77%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 23%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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Liquidity
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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