Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $11.6K in 24h volume.
Probability
0%
24h Volume
$11.6K
Liquidity
$0
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
18%
Change
0%
High
18%
Low
18%
Knicks moved from 18% to 18% over the last month, trading between 18% and 18%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
1 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a 7.5-point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in the scheduled NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. For a Knicks result, New York must win by 8 points or more; any other outcome goes to Spurs under the market rules.
The key question is not simply who wins, but whether the Knicks finish enough points ahead of the Spurs to clear the -7.5 line. The title and rules point to a standard NBA point-spread settlement: Knicks if New York wins by 8 or more, Spurs if San Antonio covers, and Spurs as well if the game ends tied. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled outright with no make-up, the market settles 50-50.
Point-spread markets can stay uncertain even when one team is favored because the margin matters as much as the winner. In an NBA game, lineup changes, rest decisions, injuries, pace, and late-game substitutions can all affect whether a team wins comfortably or only narrowly. That is why the market is pricing the chance that the Knicks do or do not clear a 7.5-point cushion against the Spurs.
News that changes the expected rotation, especially availability for key starters or a surprise rest decision, can move this market quickly. Because the settlement depends on margin, not just victory, updates that suggest a tighter or more lopsided game state—such as a stronger or weaker projected lineup, foul trouble risk, or a blowout-prone mismatch—matter a lot. Any official change to the schedule, including postponement or cancellation, also affects settlement under the market rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 0% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the game starts, readers should verify the official tip-off time, the listed lineups, and whether the matchup is still on track to be played as scheduled. The source of truth for settlement is the actual completed NBA game and the market’s stated rules, not the title alone, especially because the title shows a spread while the description controls how it resolves. If the game is delayed, postponed, or canceled, those outcomes have separate settlement treatment, so that is the main ambiguity to watch closely.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 0%, $11.6K in 24h volume.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
0%
Spurs
100%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is not available in the current feed, so treat the displayed snapshot as incomplete.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 0%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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