Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $17.5K in liquidity.
Probability
16%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$17.5K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
15.5%
Change
+1%
High
15.5%
Low
14.5%
Knicks moved from 14.5% to 15.5% over the last week, trading between 14.5% and 15.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market is about whether the New York Knicks will cover a 8.5-point spread in an NBA game scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, the Knicks need to win by at least 9 points for the market to resolve to “Knicks”; any other result goes to “Spurs.”
The title “Spread: Knicks (-8.5)” refers to the standard NBA point spread, where the favored team must win by more than the listed margin. Here, the Knicks are the named favorite, and the opposing side is labeled “Spurs” for settlement purposes, meaning this outcome wins if the Knicks fail to cover, if the Spurs win outright, or if the game ends tied. The market is set to stay open until the game is actually completed if it is postponed, while a full cancellation with no makeup game would resolve 50-50.
A spread market like this asks not just who wins, but whether the margin is large enough to clear a specific handicap. That creates uncertainty because even a strong favorite can win by fewer than 9 points, especially if the game stays close, pace slows down, or rotations change late. Readers care because the result depends on the final score margin, not simply on which team is better on paper.
The biggest drivers are the confirmed availability of key players, late scratches, lineup changes, and any official news that affects how strong the Knicks or Spurs look before tipoff. Once the game begins, the score margin matters more than the winner alone, so a small Knicks lead may still leave the spread in doubt. If the matchup were delayed, postponed, or altered, the settlement timing and final result could change the market’s path.
The current market price implies roughly a 16% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official game status, starting lineups, and final box score, since those determine whether the Knicks win by 9 or more. The key settlement rule is simple: Knicks covers at 9+ points, otherwise the “Spurs” side wins, including a tie. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50, so the final league decision on the event matters as much as the score itself.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Knicks (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 16%, and $17.5K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
15.5%
Spurs
84.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 16%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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