Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $12.9K in 24h volume, and $45.3K in liquidity.
Probability
32%
24h Volume
$12.9K
Liquidity
$45.3K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
30.5%
Change
+1.5%
High
31.5%
Low
29%
Spurs moved from 29% to 30.5% over the last month, trading between 29% and 31.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can cover a 12.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in the June 5 NBA game. In plain terms, it is asking not just who wins, but whether the Spurs win by a large enough margin to clear the handicap. Because the cutoff is so specific, even a close late-game score can flip the result.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-12.5)," means the Spurs need to win by 13 points or more for the market to resolve to "Spurs." If they win by 12 or fewer, lose outright, or the game ends tied, the market resolves to "Knicks." The market description says the game is scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market remains open if the game is postponed until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50.
Point-spread markets are especially sensitive because they are not about simple victory or defeat, but about margin of victory. That makes the outcome uncertain even when one team is expected to be stronger, since a late run, substitutions, foul trouble, or an intentional slowdown can change whether the final margin clears 12.5 points. Readers following this market are really watching whether the Spurs can create enough separation by the final buzzer.
The biggest price drivers here are game-day lineup news, injuries, rest decisions, and any sign that a key scorer or defender will be limited or unavailable. Pre-game reporting about starting lineups, minutes restrictions, or changes in rotation can matter a lot because a 12.5-point spread leaves little room for error. During the game, early foul trouble, a blowout pace, or a fourth-quarter benching of starters can all change whether the Spurs are likely to cover.
The current market price implies roughly a 32% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the official final score, since settlement depends on the Spurs winning by 13 or more points, not simply winning the game. If the game is delayed or postponed, the description says the market stays open until the game is actually completed, so the final official result matters more than the original start time. If there is any ambiguity, check whether the game was completed, canceled, or rescheduled, because that determines whether the market resolves normally or 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-12.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 32%, $12.9K in 24h volume, and $45.3K in liquidity.
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Spurs
31.5%
Knicks
68.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 13 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 32%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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Spread
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7/6/2026
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