Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $19.6K in 24h volume, and $63.8K in liquidity.
Probability
63%
24h Volume
$19.6K
Liquidity
$63.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
63%
Change
+3%
High
63%
Low
60%
Spurs moved from 60% to 63% over the last month, trading between 60% and 63%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the San Antonio Spurs covering a 2.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in the upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. It is a straightforward margin-of-victory question: the Spurs need to win by 3 or more points for the market to resolve to Spurs, while any smaller win, a Knicks win, or a tie goes to Knicks.
The title, "Spread: Spurs (-2.5)," means the Spurs are the listed favorite by 2.5 points in this matchup with the Knicks. The description sets the resolution rule clearly: if San Antonio wins by at least three points, Spurs wins; otherwise Knicks wins, including if the game ends tied. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played, and if it is canceled with no make-up, it settles 50-50.
Basketball spread markets are sensitive to how competitive a game is expected to be, not just who wins outright. A two-and-a-half-point line leaves very little room between the two outcomes, so a close finish can flip the result even if the favorite is playing well. That is why small changes in lineup availability, late scratches, rest, or game flow can matter a lot to this market.
The biggest movers are pregame injury or availability updates for key Spurs or Knicks players, plus any confirmed lineup changes before tipoff. Because the line is only 2.5 points, a single starter being ruled in or out can noticeably change how people assess the chance of a Spurs cover. The market can also react to late information about back-to-backs, minutes restrictions, or other schedule-related rest decisions that affect expected scoring margin.
The current market price implies roughly a 63% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The main thing to verify is the actual final score, because settlement depends on the margin, not just the winner. Readers should also watch for any change to the game status, since the rules say postponed games remain open and canceled games without a make-up resolve 50-50. The source of truth is the completed official NBA game result, and the end date on the page is June 6 at 00:30 UTC, which is the resolution window for this June 5 matchup.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-2.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 63%, $19.6K in 24h volume, and $63.8K in liquidity.
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Spurs
63%
Knicks
37%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 63%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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