Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $37K in 24h volume, and $83.8K in liquidity.
Probability
61%
24h Volume
$37K
Liquidity
$83.8K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
60.5%
Change
+2%
High
60.5%
Low
58.5%
Spurs moved from 58.5% to 60.5% over the last month, trading between 58.5% and 60.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can cover a 3.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in an upcoming NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. The title matters because a point spread does not ask only who wins; it asks whether the Spurs win by enough margin to clear the number.
The question here is simple: will the Spurs beat the Knicks by 4 points or more in the scheduled NBA matchup? If San Antonio wins by exactly 4 or more, the market resolves to "Spurs"; if New York wins, or if the Spurs win by 1, 2, or 3, it resolves to "Knicks." A tie also counts as "Knicks," and if the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played.
Point-spread markets are about margin, not just outcome, so a single basket near the end can change the result even if the winner stays the same. The uncertainty here comes from the usual NBA mix of pace, shooting variance, injuries, rotations, and how competitive the game is expected to be around this specific line of Spurs -3.5. Readers care because the market is really pricing whether the Spurs are strong enough to win by more than a possession and a half.
Anything that changes expectations for the game margin can move this market, especially confirmed lineup news, late injury reports, rest decisions, or a surprise starter being ruled out. Because the settlement depends on final score differential, pregame context around home-court setup, back-to-back fatigue, and how the teams are expected to match up can matter a lot. Once the game starts, early scoring runs, foul trouble, and a close fourth quarter can all change how the market is priced live.
The current market price implies roughly a 61% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The main thing to verify is the official final score and whether the game is completed, since that determines settlement. If there is any postponement, the market does not resolve until the game is actually finished; if the game were canceled with no make-up, it would settle 50-50 under the rules shown here. For readers following the page, the key ambiguity to watch is not just who won, but whether the Spurs covered the 3.5-point line in the official NBA result.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-3.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 61%, $37K in 24h volume, and $83.8K in liquidity.
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Spurs
60.5%
Knicks
39.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 61%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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