Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 57%, $119.1K in 24h volume, and $170.2K in liquidity.
Probability
57%
24h Volume
$119.1K
Liquidity
$170.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
57.5%
Change
+2%
High
57.5%
Low
55.5%
Spurs moved from 55.5% to 57.5% over the last month, trading between 55.5% and 57.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market asks whether the San Antonio Spurs will beat the New York Knicks by at least 5 points in the scheduled NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. Because the line is Spurs (-4.5), the settlement depends on the final margin of victory, not just which team wins outright.
The outcome is simple: if the Spurs win by 5 or more, the market resolves to Spurs; if they win by 4 or fewer, lose, or if the game ends tied, it resolves to Knicks. The market stays open until the game is completed if it is postponed, and it only settles 50-50 if the game is canceled with no make-up date.
A point spread market like this is about whether the favorite can cover the handicap, which is often different from predicting the straight winner. Spurs and Knicks are both well-known NBA franchises, so even a small move in expected performance, rotation news, or game flow can change how traders view the spread. The disagreement here is not over whether one team is better in the abstract, but whether the Spurs can create a margin large enough to beat the 4.5-point cushion.
Any late lineup information can matter, especially if a starter is ruled out, limited, or unexpectedly active. Pre-game moves in the betting line, changes in home-court setup, or news that affects pace, rest, or matchup strength can also shift expectations around whether a 5-point win is realistic. Once the game starts, early scoring runs and foul trouble can change the market’s view of the final margin very quickly.
The current market price implies roughly a 57% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The key things to verify are the official game status, the final score, and whether the game is completed on the scheduled date or moved to a make-up date. Settlement follows the market rules, not the scoreboard headline: Spurs must win by 5 or more for that side to cash. If the game is postponed, readers should check the eventual completed game; if it is canceled outright with no make-up, the market resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 57%, $119.1K in 24h volume, and $170.2K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
57.5%
Knicks
42.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 57%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
