Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 55%, $181.8K in 24h volume, and $328.2K in liquidity.
Probability
55%
24h Volume
$181.8K
Liquidity
$328.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
54.5%
Change
+2%
High
54.5%
Low
52.5%
Spurs moved from 52.5% to 54.5% over the last month, trading between 52.5% and 54.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether the Spurs can cover a -5.5 point spread in the scheduled NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, that means the Spurs must win by 6 or more points for the market to resolve to Spurs; anything else, including a tie, resolves to Knicks.
The title points to a standard NBA point-spread question: can the Spurs beat the other team by at least 6 points in this specific game? The market’s settlement rules are explicit: Spurs wins by 6+ points means Spurs, while a smaller win margin, a loss, or a tie means Knicks. The game is scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET, and the market remains open until the game is actually completed if there is a postponement.
Point spreads are close-call outcomes, especially in basketball, where a late run or a final possession can flip the result by several points. Readers care because the spread asks not just who wins, but by how much, which is often less certain than the straight game result. The market is pricing disagreement over whether the Spurs can win comfortably enough to clear 5.5 points.
Any news that affects expected game strength can move this market, especially injury reports, resting decisions, lineup changes, or a late scratch for a key player. Because the number is a fairly modest spread, even small changes in projected scoring margin can matter. Pre-game warmup updates, confirmed starters, and official game status changes are the main event-specific items to watch.
The current market price implies roughly a 55% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this resolves, check the official NBA game status, the final score, and whether the game was completed as scheduled. The settlement rule uses the final margin only, so a Spurs win by 5 does not qualify, and a tie resolves to Knicks under the posted rules. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the make-up game is played; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-5.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 55%, $181.8K in 24h volume, and $328.2K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
54.5%
Knicks
45.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 55%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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