Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $645.8K in 24h volume, and $784.6K in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$645.8K
Liquidity
$784.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50.5%
Change
+3%
High
50.5%
Low
47.5%
Spurs moved from 47.5% to 50.5% over the last month, trading between 47.5% and 50.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the San Antonio Spurs covering a 6.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in an NBA game scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. In plain terms, Spurs must win by 7 or more points for the market to settle to Spurs; any smaller margin, including a Knicks win, goes to Knicks. Because the deadline is tied to a specific game result, the main things to watch are whether the game is played as scheduled and what the final official score margin is.
The title names a standard point-spread bet-style outcome: Spurs (-6.5) means San Antonio needs to win by at least 7 points, while New York is the side if the game is closer than that or ends tied. The description also states that a postponed game stays open until it is completed, and only a canceled game with no make-up would settle 50-50. The market is set to resolve after the June 5 matchup, with the final NBA score as the source of truth.
The uncertainty here is not just who wins, but by how much. In NBA games, a team can play well and still fail to cover a mid-single-digit spread if the opponent keeps the score close, or the favorite can separate late and clear the number. Readers care because the outcome depends on the final margin, which can be affected by lineup availability, rest, pace, and how competitive the game is in the fourth quarter.
Anything that changes expectations for the final margin can move this market, especially confirmed starting lineups, late injury news, or a surprise scratch for either side. In a spread market like this, a strong Spurs lineup or favorable matchup can push sentiment toward Spurs covering, while missing key players, a tight rotation, or signs the Knicks can keep the game close can favor Knicks. Since the spread is only 6.5 points, even a small shift in expected scoring or pace can matter.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check whether the game is actually played on June 5 and whether the official final score is recorded without any postgame adjustment that could affect the margin. The key settlement question is simple: did the Spurs win by 7 or more, or not? If the game is postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled outright with no make-up, the market resolves 50-50 as described in the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-6.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, $645.8K in 24h volume, and $784.6K in liquidity.
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Spurs
49.5%
Knicks
50.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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