Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $53.4K in 24h volume, and $217.6K in liquidity.
Probability
47%
24h Volume
$53.4K
Liquidity
$217.6K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
46.5%
Change
+2%
High
46.5%
Low
44.5%
Spurs moved from 44.5% to 46.5% over the last month, trading between 44.5% and 46.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can cover a 7.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. For readers, the key question is not just who wins, but whether the Spurs win by at least eight points, which is the threshold that decides this market.
The title “Spread: Spurs (-7.5)” means the Spurs are the favored side by 7.5 points in this matchup, and the market resolves to “Spurs” only if San Antonio wins by 8 or more. If the Knicks win, the game lands exactly on a tie, or the Spurs win by 7 or fewer, the market resolves to “Knicks.” The market is tied to this specific NBA game between the Spurs and Knicks, with resolution based on the final official score.
Point-spread markets focus on margin, not just the winner, so a close game can still land on the underdog side even when the favorite wins outright. That creates uncertainty around the final margin, especially in a single-game setting where lineup decisions, late-game fouling, and scoring runs can swing the result by a few points. Readers watching this market are really tracking whether the Spurs can clear the 7.5-point hurdle rather than simply whether they play well.
Anything that changes the expected margin can move this market: confirmed starting lineups, late injury news, a minutes restriction on a key player, or a notable change in who is available on game night. Because the line is set at 7.5, small shifts in projected scoring margin matter more than in a straight win market, so even modest roster updates can affect sentiment. Live game flow also matters once the game starts, since a big early lead or a tightly contested fourth quarter can quickly change how the market is priced.
The current market price implies roughly a 47% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important thing to verify is the official final score, since the market settles only after the game is completed and the Spurs must win by 8 or more for the Spurs side to cash. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it resolves 50-50. Because this is a spread market, readers should also keep an eye on the exact score margin at the buzzer, including whether the final result lands on 7 points or fewer, which would resolve to Knicks.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 47%, $53.4K in 24h volume, and $217.6K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
46.5%
Knicks
53.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 8 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 47%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market--
24h Vol
--
Liquidity
--
Spread
0%
7/6/2026
View market
