Spread: Spurs (-8.5)

What this market is about

The settlement rule is simple: it resolves to "Spurs" if the Spurs win by 9 points or more, and to "Knicks" otherwise. A tie also counts for "Knicks," so a narrow Spurs win does not satisfy the market. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is actually completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The listed deadline shows the market closing shortly after the scheduled June 5, 8:30 PM ET tipoff window.

Why the market exists

Spread markets like this focus on the margin of victory, which can be harder to judge than a straight moneyline result. A team can look competitive and still fail to cover, or dominate late and clear the number, so small changes in pace, rotation depth, and late-game scoring can matter a lot. For a matchup involving the Spurs and Knicks, readers are typically watching whether the favorite can create enough separation to beat the 8.5-point line.

What can move the price

The biggest price moves usually come from official injury reports, confirmed starters, and any last-minute rest decisions that change the expected rotation. News that affects pace or scoring expectations, such as a key scorer being unavailable or limited, can quickly shift views on whether the Spurs are likely to win by nine or more. Once the game starts, early foul trouble, a big first-half run, or a close score going into the fourth quarter can also move sentiment sharply because the final margin is what decides the market.

How to read the current probability