Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $62.3K in 24h volume, and $115.2K in liquidity.
Probability
43%
24h Volume
$62.3K
Liquidity
$115.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
42.5%
Change
+1%
High
42.5%
Low
41.5%
Spurs moved from 41.5% to 42.5% over the last month, trading between 41.5% and 42.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
8 points
This market is about the San Antonio Spurs covering an 8.5-point spread in an upcoming NBA game against the New York Knicks. Because the line is set at Spurs -8.5, the key question is not just who wins, but whether San Antonio wins by at least nine points. The market is scheduled around the June 5 game time, so lineup news, injuries, and the final score margin are what matter most.
The settlement rule is simple: it resolves to "Spurs" if the Spurs win by 9 points or more, and to "Knicks" otherwise. A tie also counts for "Knicks," so a narrow Spurs win does not satisfy the market. If the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is actually completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50. The listed deadline shows the market closing shortly after the scheduled June 5, 8:30 PM ET tipoff window.
Spread markets like this focus on the margin of victory, which can be harder to judge than a straight moneyline result. A team can look competitive and still fail to cover, or dominate late and clear the number, so small changes in pace, rotation depth, and late-game scoring can matter a lot. For a matchup involving the Spurs and Knicks, readers are typically watching whether the favorite can create enough separation to beat the 8.5-point line.
The biggest price moves usually come from official injury reports, confirmed starters, and any last-minute rest decisions that change the expected rotation. News that affects pace or scoring expectations, such as a key scorer being unavailable or limited, can quickly shift views on whether the Spurs are likely to win by nine or more. Once the game starts, early foul trouble, a big first-half run, or a close score going into the fourth quarter can also move sentiment sharply because the final margin is what decides the market.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 43% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before this market resolves, readers should check the official game status, whether the matchup starts on time, and whether there are any postponement or cancellation announcements. The source of truth is the final official NBA result and margin of victory, not a box score projection or a live betting line. The main ambiguity risks are delays, a game that is completed on a different date, or an unusual outcome such as cancellation, all of which are handled explicitly in the market rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-8.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 43%, $62.3K in 24h volume, and $115.2K in liquidity.
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Spurs
42.5%
Knicks
57.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 9 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 43%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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7/6/2026
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7/6/2026
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