Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $37.5K in 24h volume, and $306.2K in liquidity.
Probability
40%
24h Volume
$37.5K
Liquidity
$306.2K
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
39.5%
Change
+1.5%
High
39.5%
Low
37.5%
Spurs moved from 38% to 39.5% over the last week, trading between 37.5% and 39.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
22 points
This market is about whether the San Antonio Spurs can cover a 9.5-point spread against the New York Knicks in the scheduled NBA game on June 5 at 8:30 PM ET. The key question is not just who wins, but whether the Spurs win by at least 10 points, which is a much narrower and more fragile outcome than a straight win market.
The title, "Spurs (-9.5)", means the Spurs are favored by 9.5 points under the market’s settlement rules. For this market to resolve to Spurs, San Antonio must beat New York by 10 or more; any other result, including a Spurs win by 9 or fewer, a Knicks win, or a tie, resolves to Knicks. Because the game is scheduled rather than completed already, the result depends on the official final score from the NBA game as played.
Point-spread markets like this one focus on margin, which makes them more uncertain than simply picking a winner. A 9.5-point line asks whether the Spurs can create enough separation over a full game, and that can turn on shooting runs, foul trouble, late-game substitutions, and whether the Knicks can keep the score close into the fourth quarter. Readers care because the spread reflects expectations about team strength and game competitiveness, not just the final scoreboard.
The biggest price moves usually come from lineup and availability news, especially if a starter is ruled out, limited, or scratched close to tipoff. In an NBA spread market, updates on injuries, minutes restrictions, rest decisions, and any change in who is active can quickly shift the expected margin. Once the game begins, a fast Spurs start, a Knicks scoring run, or an early foul pattern that changes rotation plans can also move the market as traders react to the live outlook.
The current market price implies roughly a 40% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before this market settles, check the official NBA game status, the final score, and whether the game was played to completion, because postponements stay open until the game is finished and a canceled game would resolve 50-50 under the rules here. The important source of truth is the completed official game result, not the listed spread itself or any unofficial box score while the game is still in progress. Because the settlement turns on a 10-point margin, a late basket can matter even in the final seconds, so readers should pay attention to the final official margin rather than just which team won.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spread: Spurs (-9.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 40%, $37.5K in 24h volume, and $306.2K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
40%
Knicks
60%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 6, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 5 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 10 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Knicks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is relatively deep for a prediction market page, so quoted prices may be more reliable than very thin markets.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is tight, which usually points to a more actively priced market.
Recent movement
The 24h move is modest, suggesting the market has not repriced dramatically in the latest feed.
The current displayed probability is 40%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Spread
1%
7/6/2026
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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