Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $182.8 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$182.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
-1.5%
High
51.5%
Low
49%
Spurs moved from 51.5% to 50% over the last hour, trading between 49% and 51.5%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market asks a simple question about the first half of Spurs vs. Knicks: which team will be ahead at halftime, or whether the teams will be tied and the market settles 50-50. Because the outcome is determined by just one snapshot of the game, early rotations, pace, and any hot or cold shooting stretch can matter more here than the final score. The market is set for the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with resolution based only on the halftime scoreboard.
The title, "Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline," refers to the first-half moneyline for an NBA matchup between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knicks. Per the market rules, it resolves to "Spurs" if San Antonio is leading at halftime, to "Knicks" if New York is leading at halftime, and 50-50 if the score is tied at the break. The result is not based on who wins the game overall, only on the score when halftime is reached.
First-half basketball markets can look very different from full-game markets because only 24 minutes of play decide the outcome, and coaching choices, starting lineups, rest patterns, and early foul trouble can all swing that short window. That creates uncertainty about whether the Spurs or Knicks will control the opening half, especially in a single scheduled game where there is no series format to average out one bad start. Readers should also note the market’s thin liquidity and wide bid-ask spread, which can make the quoted price less stable than in a deeper market.
The biggest price movers here are the kinds of game-specific developments that affect the first half: confirmed starters, late scratches, surprise rest decisions, and any pregame injury status changes. Once the game starts, a fast Knicks run, an early Spurs lead, foul trouble for a key ball-handler or big man, or an especially slow pace can all shift expectations for who is ahead at halftime. Because this is a first-half market, developments after the break do not matter unless the game is postponed and later completed.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before the market resolves, check the official NBA game status, the listed start time, and the halftime score from the game itself, since settlement depends only on the score at halftime. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50. The main ambiguity risk is not the final result but whether there is an interruption, delay, or schedule change that affects when halftime is reached and how the market is settled.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline. The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $182.8 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
50%
Knicks
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning at halftime. This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks are winning at halftime. If the score is tied at halftime, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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