Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $4.7 in liquidity.
Probability
49%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$4.7
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
49.5%
Change
-0.5%
High
50%
Low
49.5%
Spurs moved from 50% to 49.5% over the full available history, trading between 49.5% and 50%.
Spurs price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the San Antonio Spurs will be ahead by 11 points or more at halftime against the New York Knicks. Because the result is based only on the first 24 minutes of play, it is driven more by opening lineups, pace, and early shooting than by who ultimately wins the game.
The event is the first-half point spread for Spurs vs. Knicks in an NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. To resolve to "Spurs," San Antonio must lead by at least 11 at halftime; any smaller Spurs lead, a tie, or a Knicks lead resolves to "Knicks." The market uses the halftime score only, so the final result of the game does not matter unless the game is postponed or canceled under the stated rules.
A first-half spread is a narrower question than the full-game result, and that makes it sensitive to how quickly a team starts and whether key players are active from the opening tip. Spurs-Knicks matchups can also feel volatile because early runs, rotation choices, and foul trouble can swing the halftime margin even when the final score looks very different. The market is essentially pricing disagreement about whether San Antonio can build a big enough cushion before halftime.
Pre-game lineup news, late scratches, rest decisions, and any change to the expected starting five can move this market quickly. Once the game starts, fast starts by either team, three-point shooting, turnovers, foul trouble, and timeouts that change rotation patterns can all push the halftime margin toward or away from Spurs -10.5. If the game is delayed, postponed, or rescheduled, the settlement path in the rules becomes especially important.
The current market price implies roughly a 49% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Readers should check the official game status, the confirmed tipoff time, and whether both teams actually play on June 8 as scheduled, since postponement keeps the market open until the game is completed. The key settlement point is the halftime score as recorded by the official NBA game book or equivalent official score source, not the final score. If the game is canceled with no make-up date, the rules say the market resolves 50-50, so the cancellation status matters as much as the box score.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-10.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 49%, and $4.7 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
49%
Knicks
51%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 11 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 49%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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