Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $106.4 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$106.4
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
50%
Change
0%
High
51%
Low
47.5%
Knicks moved from 50% to 50% over the last day, trading between 47.5% and 51%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market asks a simple halftime question: will the San Antonio Spurs be ahead of the New York Knicks by at least 2 points after the first half? The title names a first-half spread of Spurs -1.5, so the Spurs need to lead at the break for the market to resolve to Spurs.
The event is the NBA game between the Spurs and Knicks scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Settlement is based only on the halftime score, not the final result, and the Spurs outcome wins only if San Antonio is up by 2 or more at halftime; otherwise the Knicks outcome wins. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is played, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
First-half spreads can differ from full-game expectations because early rotations, pace, foul trouble, and lineup choices can create a very different margin by halftime than by the final buzzer. The market is pricing uncertainty about which team is more likely to start faster and hold a small halftime lead, rather than who ultimately wins the game. That makes injury status, rest, and starting lineups especially relevant for anyone trying to understand the setup.
Confirmed starting lineups, late scratches, minutes restrictions, or news about a key scorer or ball-handler can change how likely either team is to cover the first-half spread. Pre-game expectations about pace and rotation length matter too, since a faster start or a bench-heavy second quarter can swing a two-point halftime margin quickly. Any official update that changes who is active for tipoff is more important here than the full-game outlook because only the first 24 minutes count.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The main source of truth is the halftime score from the officially completed game, not box scores after the final buzzer. Readers should verify that the game was played on the scheduled date, or if it was postponed or canceled, check the market’s stated settlement rule rather than assuming a normal win/loss result. Because this is a first-half market, late scoring in the third and fourth quarters does not matter unless the game never reaches settlement under the cancellation or postponement rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $106.4 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Spurs
50%
Knicks
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 2 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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