Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, and $50.6 in liquidity.
Probability
53%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$50.6
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
47.5%
Change
-2.5%
High
50%
Low
47.5%
Knicks moved from 50% to 47.5% over the full available history, trading between 47.5% and 50%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
2 points
This market asks whether the Spurs will cover a 4.5-point first-half spread against the Knicks in the NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. Because it settles on the halftime score only, the most important question is not who wins the game, but whether San Antonio is ahead by at least five points at the break.
The title, “1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5),” means the Spurs need to lead the Knicks by 5 or more points at halftime for the market to resolve to Spurs. If San Antonio is up by 4 points or fewer, tied, or trailing at halftime, the market resolves to Knicks under the rules provided. The market is tied to the first half only, so the final score, overtime, and the rest of the game do not matter for settlement.
First-half spread markets are often driven by how teams start games, their rotation strength, and whether they can build an early cushion before benches and adjustments matter later. The Spurs and Knicks are familiar NBA franchises, but this specific market is about a short window of game time, which can make the outcome swing on pace, shooting, fouls, or early lineup choices. That creates uncertainty even before the game tips off, especially when the spread is relatively close to the likely first-half margin.
Anything that changes expectations for the first 24 minutes can move this market, especially news about starters, late scratches, rest, or a change in projected minutes for key players. Because the resolution depends only on the halftime score, strong early offense, a quick run in the first quarter, or the opposite—a slow start, foul trouble, or missed shots—can all materially change the outlook. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is played; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50 as stated in the rules.
The current market price implies roughly a 53% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, check the official game status, confirmed tipoff time, and the halftime score from the NBA game between the Spurs and Knicks. The settlement rule is very specific: only the score at halftime counts, so there is no dependence on the final result or any post-halftime performance. Readers should also verify whether the game is delayed, postponed, or canceled, since that affects when or how the market closes.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 53%, and $50.6 in liquidity.
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Spurs
53%
Knicks
47%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 5 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 53%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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