Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $37.3 in liquidity.
Probability
50%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$37.3
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48.5%
Change
-1.5%
High
50.5%
Low
47.5%
Knicks moved from 50% to 48.5% over the last day, trading between 47.5% and 50.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
9 points
This market is about the first-half point spread in the Spurs vs. Knicks game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. It asks a simple halftime question: will San Antonio be ahead by at least 8 points when the teams go to the locker room, or will New York cover that first-half number?
The settlement rule is based only on the halftime score of the NBA game between the Spurs and the Knicks. If the Spurs lead by 8 or more points at halftime, the market resolves to Spurs; if they lead by 7 or fewer, or are tied or trailing, it resolves to Knicks. The game time and the stated end date matter because this market stays open until the game is completed if it is postponed, and only resolves 50-50 if the game is canceled with no makeup.
First-half spreads can turn on coaching decisions, pace, rotations, and whether a team starts fast or slowly, so there is real uncertainty even before the final result is known. Spurs and Knicks are familiar NBA names, but this market is narrower than a full-game line: it is only about who controls the first two quarters, not who wins the game outright. The disagreement here is essentially about how large a halftime margin San Antonio can build, if any, against New York.
Anything that changes expectations for the opening 24 minutes can move this market, especially confirmed starters, late injury news, rest decisions, or a surprise lineup change. Early game style matters too: a quick Spurs run, foul trouble, or a slow Knicks start would help the Spurs side, while a tight first quarter or a Knicks lead would push the market toward Knicks. Because the settlement is at halftime only, late-game comeback potential does not matter unless it affects the first-half score.
The current market price implies roughly a 50% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the market resolves, readers should verify the official game status, whether the matchup is played as scheduled, and the halftime score from an authoritative NBA scoreboard or game book. The key rule is the 8-point threshold at halftime only, so final score, overtime, and second-half performance do not change the outcome. If the game is delayed, postponed, or canceled, the resolution follows the market’s specific rules rather than normal full-game betting conventions.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Spurs (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 50%, and $37.3 in liquidity.
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Spurs
50%
Knicks
50%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs are winning by 8 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Knicks". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 50%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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