Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, and $5 in liquidity.
Probability
52%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
51%
Change
+1.5%
High
52.5%
Low
48.5%
Knicks moved from 49.5% to 51% over the last day, trading between 48.5% and 52.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
7 points
This market asks a simple first-half basketball question: will the New York Knicks be ahead of the San Antonio Spurs at halftime, by at least one point? Because it settles on the halftime score only, it is about the opening 24 minutes rather than the final result. That makes starting lineups, early pace, and any first-half rotation changes especially relevant.
The title, "1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5)," means the Knicks must lead by 1 or more points at halftime for the market to resolve to "Knicks." If the Spurs are tied or leading at the half, it resolves to "Spurs." The market description says the game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the settlement is based only on the halftime score of the NBA game between the Spurs and Knicks.
First-half spread markets can be uncertain because one hot shooting stretch, foul trouble, or an unexpected rotation decision can change the halftime margin quickly. The Knicks and Spurs are both NBA teams, but this market is not about season-long strength; it is about which side starts faster in this specific matchup. Readers watch it because the early game script can differ sharply from the full-game outcome.
Pre-game lineup news matters most here, especially if either team rests a starter or changes its opening five, since first-half markets are sensitive to who is available at tipoff. Early injury status, minutes restrictions, and any indication of a slow-paced or high-scoring first half can also affect expectations for the halftime margin. Once the game starts, a quick scoring run, foul trouble for a key player, or an unusually hot three-point stretch can swing the first-half outlook fast.
The current market price implies roughly a 52% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Check the official game status and confirm that the game is actually played on the scheduled date, since the rules say a postponed game stays open until completion and a canceled game with no make-up resolves 50-50. The source of truth is the halftime score of the Spurs-Knicks game, not the final score or any full-game spread. If there is any schedule change, readers should verify whether the game was postponed, completed later, or canceled entirely before assuming how the market will settle.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-0.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 52%, and $5 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Knicks
51.5%
Spurs
48.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks are winning by 1 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 52%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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