Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, and $12.8 in liquidity.
Probability
42%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$12.8
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
41.5%
Change
0%
High
41.5%
Low
41.5%
Knicks moved from 41.5% to 41.5% over the last hour, trading between 41.5% and 41.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
13 points
This market is about whether the Knicks will lead the Spurs by at least 5 points at halftime of their June 8 NBA game. Because the result is tied to a single checkpoint, the first two quarters matter more than the final score. That makes the opening rotation, pace, and any early foul trouble especially relevant here.
The title, “1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5),” means the market is settled on the halftime margin in the Spurs vs. Knicks game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. For the Knicks outcome to win, New York must be ahead by 5 or more at halftime; otherwise the Spurs outcome wins, including if the Knicks lead by 4, the teams are tied, or San Antonio is ahead. The market does not care who wins the game overall, only the score at the break.
First-half spreads can swing on short bursts of scoring, lineup choices, or a hot shooting start, so the halftime margin is often less stable than the full-game result. The Spurs and Knicks are both recognizable NBA teams, but the question here is not season strength in the abstract; it is whether New York can create an early enough cushion by halftime to cover this specific number. Readers watching this market are really tracking whether the Knicks start quickly enough to clear a 4.5-point first-half line.
News or context that changes expected first-half scoring can move this market, especially confirmed starting lineups, rest decisions, late scratches, or an unexpected minutes limit for a key player. Early-game factors matter more than in full-game markets: a fast Knicks start, Spurs run of bench scoring, or a first-quarter foul problem for either side can change the expected halftime margin quickly. Because the spread is only 4.5 points, even a small shift in projected pace or rotation can matter a lot.
The current market price implies roughly a 42% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The settlement rule is straightforward: check the halftime score of the Spurs-Knicks game, and use that alone to decide the market. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50. Before resolution, the key things to verify are the official start time, whether the game is actually played, and the official halftime score from the game source used for settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 42%, and $12.8 in liquidity.
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Knicks
41.5%
Spurs
58.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks are winning by 5 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 42%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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