Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $5 in liquidity.
Probability
48%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$5
Chart outcome
Switches which outcome price history is shown.
Current
48.5%
Change
-1.5%
High
51.5%
Low
48.5%
Knicks moved from 50% to 48.5% over the last 6 hours, trading between 48.5% and 51.5%.
Knicks price history from Polymarket CLOB.
10 points
This market asks whether the Knicks will be ahead by 8 or more points at halftime of their June 8 NBA game against the Spurs. It is a first-half spread market, so the only thing that matters is the score at the break, not who wins the game overall.
The title, "1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5)," means the Knicks must lead by at least eight points at halftime for the market to resolve to Knicks. If San Antonio is within seven points, tied, or ahead at halftime, the market resolves to Spurs. The game is scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the listed settlement rule says the result will be based strictly on the halftime score.
This market centers on uncertainty around how quickly the Knicks can build an early cushion against the Spurs. In basketball, first-half point spreads are sensitive to starting lineups, early pace, foul trouble, and whether a team comes out aggressively or slowly. Readers following this market are really watching whether New York can separate early enough to cover a fairly large halftime margin.
The biggest price moves usually come from lineup confirmations, late injury news, or any change in who is expected to start and handle the ball for either team. Pre-game market sentiment can also shift if there are signs of rest, minutes limits, or an unexpected rotation, since those factors can affect first-half scoring more than the final result. Once the game starts, early runs, foul trouble, and a strong or cold shooting quarter can quickly change how realistic an eight-point halftime lead looks.
The current market price implies roughly a 48% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
To resolve this market, the key source of truth is the halftime score of the Spurs-Knicks game, not the final box score. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50. Before settlement, readers should verify that the matchup is still on for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET and watch for any official changes to start time, postponement status, or lineup availability that could affect the first half.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for 1H Spread: Knicks (-7.5). The market currently shows a live probability of 48%, and $5 in liquidity.
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Knicks
47.5%
Spurs
52.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the first half of the NBA game between Spurs and Knicks, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks are winning by 8 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Spurs". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 48%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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