Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, and $105 in liquidity.
Probability
33%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$105
This market is asking whether Stephon Castle will finish the upcoming NBA game with at least 7 assists. Castle is a young San Antonio guard whose assist total depends on both his minutes and how often he handles the ball as a creator, so this is a good player-prop to watch before tipoff and through the final box score.
The question is simple: will Stephon Castle go over 6.5 assists in the game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, including any overtime? A final line of 7 assists or more resolves to Yes, while 6 assists or fewer resolves to No. If Castle does not take the court at all, the market resolves No, and if the game is postponed it stays open until the game is played.
Assist props can be uncertain because they depend on role, matchup, pace, and whether the player is asked to score or distribute on a given night. For a player like Castle, even a small change in usage or minutes can swing the outcome, which is why this line draws disagreement. The market is essentially weighing whether he can reach a relatively high playmaking total in one game.
The biggest movers are Castle’s starting status, projected minutes, and any lineup changes that affect his ball-handling responsibilities. If he is listed active and expected to run more offense, the over becomes more plausible; if he is on a minutes limit, sharing creation duties, or ruled out, the under strengthens quickly. During the game, early foul trouble, blowout risk, or a fast-paced overtime game can also change the final assist total.
The current market price implies roughly a 33% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before settlement, readers should check whether Castle is active and whether he is expected to play normal minutes, since an inactive designation resolves the market to No. The official source of truth is the NBA box score on NBA.com, which will determine the final assist count including overtime. If the game is delayed or postponed, the market remains open until completion; if it is canceled with no make-up, it resolves 50-50 under the rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stephon Castle: Assists O/U 6.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 33%, and $105 in liquidity.
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Yes
32.5%
No
67.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephon Castle records more than 6.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Stephon Castle records 6.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 33%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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