Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $2.6 in 24h volume, and $119.3 in liquidity.
Probability
28%
24h Volume
$2.6
Liquidity
$119.3
This market asks whether Victor Wembanyama will finish the game with at least 4 assists, based on the official NBA box score. Because assists can swing with playing time, role, and game flow, this is a simple stat line to watch rather than a team-result market.
The event is tied to an upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, with overtime included in the final tally. The question is whether Victor Wembanyama records more than 3.5 assists, which means 4 or more assists, and the official NBA.com box score is the source used to settle it. If he is inactive or never appears in the game, the market resolves to No; if the game is postponed, it stays open until the game is completed, and if it is canceled with no makeup, it resolves 50-50.
Wembanyama is one of the NBA’s most closely watched young stars, and his assist totals can vary depending on how often he handles the ball and how the game unfolds around him. A line of 3.5 sits in a range where a few extra passes, a faster pace, or a short outing can make the difference, so the market reflects uncertainty around his final box score. Readers following this page are mainly weighing whether he reaches a modest playmaking threshold in that specific matchup.
The biggest things that can move this market are Wembanyama’s expected minutes, whether he is fully active, and how much offense runs through him in this game. Starting lineups, any late injury designation, and the game’s pace or competitiveness can all affect whether he gets enough touches to reach four assists. Because overtime counts, a close game that extends past regulation can also help the over if he stays on the floor.
The current market price implies roughly a 28% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before resolution, check the official NBA box score on NBA.com rather than unofficial stat feeds, since that is the settlement source. The key details are whether Wembanyama is active, whether he plays at all, and the final assist total after any overtime is included. The deadline shown on the market page is June 9 at 12:30 AM UTC, but the actual settlement depends on the game being completed and the official scoring report.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Assists O/U 3.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 28%, $2.6 in 24h volume, and $119.3 in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
28%
No
72%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Wembanyama records more than 3.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Victor Wembanyama records 3.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The current price implies a lower-probability outcome, which can make the market more sensitive to surprise news.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 28%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.