Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Probability
31%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.1K
This market asks whether Victor Wembanyama will score 28 points or more in the scheduled NBA game on June 8 at 8:30 PM ET. It is a straightforward player-points line centered on one of the league’s most closely watched young stars, so the main question is whether his final scoring total clears a fairly high threshold.
The event is Victor Wembanyama’s point total in the upcoming NBA game, with the line set at 27.5 points. “Yes” means he finishes with 28 or more points; “No” means he ends with 27 points or fewer. All scoring in regulation and overtime counts, and the result is based on the official NBA box score published on NBA.com.
A points line like 27.5 can be uncertain because one player’s usage, shooting efficiency, minutes, and game flow can move the total by just a few baskets. Wembanyama is a high-volume offensive option, but whether he gets over this number depends on the pace of the game, defensive attention, foul trouble, and whether the matchup stays competitive enough for him to play full minutes. The market is basically weighing how likely it is that he reaches a score usually reserved for a strong scoring night.
Pre-game lineup news is especially important here: if Wembanyama is listed inactive or does not take the court, the market resolves to No under the posted rules. Any change in his expected minutes, a surprise injury designation, or a clear shift in the team’s rotation can affect how people price the over. Once the game starts, early foul trouble, a fast scoring start, or an unusually low-usage first half can quickly change expectations for whether he gets past 27.5.
The current market price implies roughly a 31% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
The most important things to verify are the official status of the game and Wembanyama’s game-day availability, since the rules treat an inactive player as No. Readers should also check the official NBA box score after the game, because that is the settlement source and overtime counts. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no makeup game, it resolves 50-50.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 27.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
30.5%
No
69.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Wembanyama scores more than 27.5 points during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Victor Wembanyama scores 27.5 points or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 31%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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