Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $1.7 in 24h volume, and $130 in liquidity.
Probability
34%
24h Volume
$1.7
Liquidity
$130
This market asks whether Stephon Castle will finish the June 8 NBA game with at least 5 rebounds. Because rebounds can swing with minutes, foul trouble, pace, and overtime, this is a straightforward player-prop style market that depends on both his role and the flow of the game.
The event is the upcoming NBA game scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET, and the settlement line is set at 4.5 total rebounds for Stephon Castle. Castle is an NBA player whose rebound total will be measured across the full game, including any overtime periods, with the result decided from the official NBA box score on NBA.com. The market resolves Yes if he records 5 or more rebounds, and No if he finishes with 4 or fewer.
There is uncertainty because individual rebound totals can vary a lot from game to game based on playing time, matchup, and whether a player stays on the floor long enough to collect boards. The market is essentially pricing a question about whether Castle’s role in this specific game will be enough to clear a modest rebounding line. If he is inactive or never enters the game, the rules say the answer is No.
Any information that changes expectations for Castle’s minutes or court role can move this market, especially starting lineup news, injury status, or an early indication that he will have a larger or smaller workload than usual. Game environment matters too: a faster pace, more missed shots, extra overtime, or a game script that keeps him on the floor longer can all help the over, while limited minutes or foul trouble can push the under. Because the market is tied to one player’s box-score total, even small changes in projected usage can matter.
The current market price implies roughly a 34% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Related markets
Before the game ends, the key things to verify are whether Castle is active, whether he actually plays, and how many rebounds the official NBA box score credits him with. The rules are specific: postponed games stay open until completed, canceled games without a make-up resolve 50-50, and the official NBA.com box score is the source of truth. If there is any discrepancy between a live feed and the official stat line, the NBA box score controls the settlement.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 4.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 34%, $1.7 in 24h volume, and $130 in liquidity.
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Yes
34%
No
66%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephon Castle records more than 4.5 total rebounds during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Stephon Castle records 4.5 rebounds or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 34%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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