Sports
Polymarket market
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Probability
31%
24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$2.1K
This market asks whether Victor Wembanyama will finish with 12 or more rebounds in the June 8 NBA game scheduled for 8:30 PM ET. It is a straightforward player-prop page built around one stat line, so the main things to watch are whether Wembanyama plays, how many minutes he gets, and how the official box score records his rebounds.
The settlement question is simple: will Victor Wembanyama record more than 11.5 total rebounds in the game, or 11.5 rebounds or fewer? If he gets to 12 rebounds or more, the market resolves Yes; if he finishes with 11 or fewer, it resolves No. The entire game counts, including overtime, and the official NBA box score on NBA.com is the source of truth. If he is listed inactive or does not take the court, the market resolves No; if the game is postponed, it stays open until played, and a full cancellation with no makeup game resolves 50-50.
Wembanyama is one of the league’s most unusual rebounders because of his size, reach, and ability to impact the glass from inside and out. A line at 11.5 sits near a high-volume rebounding game for a frontcourt player, so there is real uncertainty about whether he clears it on any given night. Readers care because one late foul issue, a minutes restriction, an injury designation, or a change in game script can swing a rebounding total that sits right on the edge of the number.
The biggest price movers are pregame availability and role news: if Wembanyama is confirmed active, that keeps the line live, while any hint he may sit would push the market toward No under the rules. Once the game starts, minutes, foul trouble, pace, missed shots, and whether the matchup creates extra defensive rebounds or fewer clean board chances all matter. Overtime can also help a rebound total, and a strong interior matchup or a lopsided game can change how often he is on the floor and in rebounding position.
Related markets
The current market price implies roughly a 31% chance for the leading outcome, based on live Polymarket pricing. That number is not a prediction from PredictionNinja and it is not a guarantee; it is the current crowd-priced view of the market and can change quickly when new information appears.
Before settlement, verify that the game is actually played, that Wembanyama is officially active, and that the final stat line in the NBA.com box score shows his total rebounds. Because the line is set at 11.5, there is no push: 12 or more is Yes, 11 or fewer is No. The most important ambiguity check is whether any late change in status, postponement, or cancellation affects how the market is settled under the posted rules.
Track live probability, outcome prices, volume, liquidity, and resolution details for Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5. The market currently shows a live probability of 31%, and $2.1K in liquidity.
Track live sports prediction markets focused on championships, tournaments, player performances, team outcomes, and major sporting events worldwide.
Yes
30.5%
No
69.5%
This market is currently listed with an end date of Jun 9, 2026. Market timelines can change if the underlying event is postponed, rescheduled, or resolved early.
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for June 8 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Victor Wembanyama records more than 11.5 total rebounds during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Victor Wembanyama records 11.5 rebounds or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Probability signal
The market is priced near the middle, which usually means traders are still weighing competing outcomes.
Liquidity context
Liquidity is present but not especially deep, so spreads and order-book movement still matter.
Spread
The bid-ask spread is wider, so the headline probability may be less precise than it looks.
Recent movement
No 24h movement is available yet.
The current displayed probability is 31%, based on the latest normalized Polymarket data available to PredictionNinja.
The rules and resolution criteria are pulled from the market description provided by Polymarket when available.
Prediction markets can move whenever traders react to new information, liquidity changes, injuries, announcements, news, or other event-specific developments.
No. PredictionNinja displays market data and context for research only. It is not financial, legal, betting, or investment advice.
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24h Vol
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Liquidity
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Spread
0%
7/6/2026
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